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Real Estate VS Stocks — The Real Math (All you know is WRONG) — MarketVault
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Real Estate VS Stocks — The Real Math (All you know is WRONG)

Robert ShillerBurton Malkiel
2020s2025


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Most people think they know which investment wins. But they're comparing them wrong. In this video, I break down 100 years of data on real estate vs stocks — the real returns, the hidden math behind leverage, and the one psychological factor that decides which investment actually makes you wealthier in the long run. What you'll learn: → The S&P 500's true historical return (nominal vs. real) → Why Robert Shiller's data on real estate will surprise you → How leverage transforms real estate's returns — and its risks → The hidden costs that most comparisons completely ignore → The behavioral gap that destroys stock investors' returns → When real estate wins. When stocks win. And who each is best suited for. This is not financial advice. This is financial education. ───────────────────────────── ⏱️ CHAPTERS ───────────────────────────── 0:00 The Question Everyone Gets Wrong 0:28 What You'll Actually Learn 0:50 Why This Debate Never Ends 1:38 What Stocks Actually Return (100-Year Data) 2:22 The Real Estate Numbers (They'll Surprise You) 3:00 The Leverage Multiplier — Where Real Estate Fights Back 3:38 The Hidden Costs Nobody Mentions 4:20 The Behavioral Gap That Changes Everything 5:22 Final Verdict — When Each One Wins ───────────────────────────── 📚 BOOKS REFERENCED ───────────────────────────── The Psychology of Money — Morgan Housel A Random Walk Down Wall Street — Burton Malkiel The Little Book of Common Sense Investing — John C. Bogle Irrational Exuberance — Robert Shiller ───────────────────────────── 📊 DATA SOURCES ───────────────────────────── - NYU Stern / Damodaran Historical Return Dataset (S&P 500 returns) - Robert Shiller / S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index (real estate appreciation) - DALBAR Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior, 2025 ───────────────────────────── 🔔 NEW VIDEOS EVERY [WEEK/FORTNIGHT] ───────────────────────────── Subscribe and hit the bell so you never miss an episode on wealth psychology, behavioral finance, and the mental m

About Robert Shiller

Robert James Shiller (born March 29, 1946) is an American economist, academic, and author. As of 2022, he served as a Sterling Professor of Economics at Yale University and is a fellow at the Yale School of Management's International Center for Finance. Shiller has been a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) since 1980, was vice president of the American Economic Association in 2005, its president for 2016, and president of the Eastern Economic Association for 20...

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